Photo Credit:  Papa Jack "Water Master"                       

Castle Rock Cut is the main travel artery from Wahweap to the upper lake when the lake is above the Elevation of 3620. Since the lake is currently below that level boat travel is restricted to the main channel which adds considerable distance to the uplake trip but perhaps more importantly the channel is very rough and uncomfortable with all the boat wakes which have no way to dissipate in the narrow canyon. Negotiating the channel is not a pleasant trip on a busy day.

With rising water the Cut may get wet this year and perhaps open to boat travel for a short time.  The event is note worthy and will be celebrated by boaters anxious to use the Cut. This contest will award the contestants that guess closest to the actual time that the lake will reach 3620 (or the high lake level for the year) and allow access through the cut to all boats.

If you would like to donate a prize, we will give you credit for your gift here during the contest.

CONTEST RULES:

1. Overview: There will be two contests held this year, the first will be CRC Wet contest, and the second will be the HLL contest. All Wordlings are invited to submit one guess for both contests. Rich Herron will assist Wayne as the Contest Moderator. Prizes for both are still TBD. The CRC Wet "day" may even be celebrated by ARAMARK hosting Arizona's Governor cutting a ribbon near Castle Rock. More details will be forthcoming of this event in May.

2. CRC Wet Contest/Threshold: The first person to guess the closest date/time to CRC Wet will be the winner. Anecdotal evidence dictates that a lake level of 3612' will result in a flood of the CRC flat and connect the Wahweap and Warm Creek Bays. Therefore, that exact level will be used for the CRC Wet contest. The person guessing closest to the DAY and HOUR that 3612' is achieved will win the CRC Wet contest. In the event that 3612' is not reached, the maximum lake elevation in 2007 will be the winning level for both the CRC Wet and HLL contests-and prizes if any.

3. HLL Contest/Threshold: The first person to guess closes date/time to the HLL will be the winner. The method for determining the date and time of the HIGHEST lake level for 2007 (or peak level) will be via the public information supplied hourly by the Bureau of Reclamation (BOR) in Page, AZ. In the event that Mother Nature blesses us with a second surge of run-off like Oct/2006, then only the first runoff period will be HLL threshold. In the event there are staggered runoff surges then the first runoff peak level must be sustained for over 5 days for it to be declared officially the HLL which will determine the 2007 HLL winner.

4. Contest Entries/Tie Breaker: There could be a tie if no one guesses the exact time and two people are equally close (See the example tie-breaking below). In that case, the winner will be determined by the earlier date of the guess. All guesses are assumed to be for 2007 if not otherwise indicated. Those submitting duplicate dates and times will be informed and advised to submit another guess. All entries can be changed up to the cut-off date. Please submit your guesses for both contests in the following format:

CRC: Month - Day - Hour (am/pm or 24-hour time)
HLL: Month - Day - Hour (am/pm or 24-hour time)


Example contest entry format, please post in body of a WW Lake Powell Recreational Board post your guesses for both contents:
CRC: June - 23 - 3 pm
HLL: July - 30 - 1500

Do not post minutes or seconds as the data is not tracked with that level of accuracy by the BOR, and those entries will be ROUNDED up to the next hour. If that hour has been taken then your guess will be voided and you will be asked to re-guess via a reply to your posted guess.

Tie-Breaking Examples (Note examples work for CRC too):

1. HLL 3620' is achieved on June 23 @ 3:00 pm. The person guessing that exact date and time will win.
2. HLL 3620' is achieved on June 23 @ 3:00 pm. The person guessing closest will win.
3. HLL 3620' is achieved on June 23 @ 3:00 pm. One person guesses June 23 @ noon, another guesses 6:00 pm, the earliest submission wins.
4. HLL 3620' is achieved on June 23 @ 3:00 pm. One person guesses June 23 @ noon, another guesses 7:00 pm. Noon guess wins.

5. Cut-off for entries: The last day to post your guesses for both contests will be Friday June 1, 2007. Cut-off time will be 12 midnight WWBB time on that date. Please post your guess on and only on the WW Lake Powell Recreation Forum in the most recent thread labeled CRC/HLL Contests.

6. No Email Entries: Do not email your guesses to Wayne or Rich since they need to be posted for future (public) reference in case of error or questions regarding your guesses. When the thread gets too far down the list, I will bring it back to the top so everyone reading will be able to enter until the cut-off date.

7. One Entry per Contest: Only one entry per person per both (CRC Wet and HLL) contests, please! Every week the CRC Wet and HLL contests page off the WW home page will be updated with contestants and their two guesses.

8. Murphy's Law: Please make a note of your guess in case it either gets missed by the Contest Moderator or if there is error. In the event that you notice your guess has been missed or posted in error, send Rich an email (rmherron2003@yahoo.com) and he will see that it is corrected or tell you why it is an invalid guess.